Why is Crypto Down Today?

TLDR

• Bitcoin dropped 3.2% to below $114,000 and Ether fell 5.3% to under $4,200 ahead of key Fed policy events
• Crypto market cap declined by $107 billion to $3.77 trillion in 24 hours
• Fed will release July FOMC minutes today and Powell speaks at Jackson Hole on August 22
• Multiple factors suggest the Fed may delay expected rate cuts
• Crypto-related stocks suffered steeper losses than general equities (MARA -5.7%, COIN -5.8%)

Cryptocurrency markets experienced a steep decline on Tuesday as investors braced for two major Federal Reserve events that could impact monetary policy direction. The total crypto market capitalization fell by $107 billion in just 24 hours, settling at $3.77 trillion.

Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, dropped 3.2% to trade below $114,000. Ethereum followed with an even larger decline of 5.3%, pushing its price under $4,200. Other altcoins faced similar pressure, with XRP tumbling 6.2% and Cardano’s ADA sliding 8-9% during the same period.

The sell-off comes as traders prepare for key Federal Reserve communications that could reshape interest rate expectations. The Fed will release minutes from its July 29-30 FOMC meeting today at 2 p.m. ET, offering insight into policymakers’ discussions about inflation and economic conditions.

More importantly, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will deliver his keynote speech at the Jackson Hole symposium on August 22. This annual event, running from August 21-23, serves as a closely watched forum for central bank policy signals.

Market Anxiety Grows Over Rate Cut Timing

Cryptocurrency markets appear more sensitive to interest rate expectations than traditional equities. While the Dow Jones ended Tuesday’s session flat, the S&P 500 fell 0.59%, and the Nasdaq declined about 1.5%, crypto-related stocks experienced much steeper drops.

Mining company Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) closed down 5.7%, exchange operator Coinbase (COIN) fell 5.8%, and business intelligence firm MicroStrategy dropped 7.4% during Tuesday’s trading.

The heightened market anxiety stems from growing concerns that the Fed might delay previously expected interest rate cuts. Multiple economic factors point toward a more cautious approach from the central bank.

Companies have been absorbing tariff costs to protect market share, but analysts warn this practice cannot continue indefinitely. When businesses eventually pass these costs to consumers, it could accelerate inflation in coming months.

Inflation data already remains elevated despite some recent cooling. The producer price index, which measures wholesale prices, has exceeded forecasts, indicating persistent price pressures throughout the economy.

Critical Support Levels Under Pressure

Bitcoin currently trades at $113,461, having fallen below the $115,000 support level. The next critical support sits at $112,526, which has provided stability since early August. If this level holds, it could pave the way for a recovery toward $117,261.

For the broader crypto market, the $3.73 trillion support level remains key. A breakdown below this mark could signal a deeper decline, potentially pushing the market down to $3.56 trillion.

Cardano is currently holding above its $0.83 support level after losing the crucial $0.90 mark. If market conditions improve, a bounce back above $0.90 would invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a potential recovery.

The mixed economic signals make Fed decision-making particularly complex. Job growth has slowed while consumer demand remains strong, creating uncertainty about the economy’s direction. Policy uncertainty around tariffs intersects with fiscal and trade policies in unpredictable ways.

For cryptocurrency markets, the stakes remain high. Higher interest rates for extended periods reduce the liquidity that typically fuels speculative rallies in digital assets.

Thursday brings preliminary August data on manufacturing and services activity, which may show tariff-related cost pressures building. This fresh economic data could influence Powell’s message at Jackson Hole.

The July FOMC minutes may reveal internal divisions among Fed officials. Hawks focusing on inflation risks and doves emphasizing employment concerns could create disagreement about policy direction.

In other crypto news, SkyBridge Capital, led by Anthony Scaramucci, plans to tokenize $300 million in assets on the Avalanche blockchain. This move will increase the volume of real-world assets traded by 160%, involving two funds focused on cryptocurrencies, venture capital, and crypto assets.

Meanwhile, Meta is reportedly downsizing its AI division, with high-level executives leaving and third-party contractors taking over AI product development. This restructuring has caused turbulence in the AI-related token sector.

Bitcoin’s next movement will likely depend on the market’s interpretation of the Fed’s communications. If support at $112,526 holds, the leading cryptocurrency could stabilize and potentially recover in the coming days.